Among the vast community of Webheads and other assorted nerds, the fear is
palpable. Has the technology bubble finally burst? Are careers in
technology-related fields in full retreat?
There's particular angst over the Internet collapse, once seen as the golden
goose for techies. As a recent e-mailer asked: "Is it risky today to build
a career related to the Internet, or should we stick with long-term stable
jobs?"
Well, fear not. The technology steamroller isn't about to disappear. The
current malaise, say technology professionals and managers, is just thinning the
herd by eliminating those who never truly belonged anyway. "Amateur night
is over," says Robert Landes, co-chairman of Guidance, a Los Angeles Web
developer.
Among those falling by the wayside, says Russ Curtis, chief executive officer
of JustTechJobs.com, a collection of 47 technology-specific job-hunting Web
sites, are the "Harvard M.B.A.s barely out of diapers" who went on
"crazy spending orgies" and "created Web sites that nobody was
interested in," along with the "ex-jock sales and marketing
people" they hired. "They all ran around with cell phones and Palm
Pilots and pagers trying to look like they knew what they were doing," Mr.
Curtis says. "Well, they didn't."
He says the business is also being cleansed of instant nerds who took quickie
certification courses in narrow technologies, or read "Java Programming for
Dummies" (Hungry Minds Inc., 1999) and got picked up by companies on wild
hiring sprees. "There's no need for them," he says. "Good
riddance."
But jobs are still plentiful for computer professionals with solid
credentials, he insists. A company spokesman says that job listings on
JustTechJobs.com sites have "plateaued" in the past three months,
which the company sees as a good sign, coming as it does while many other
job-search sites are suffering significant declines.
Opportunities in the Old Economy
Want more proof? People3 Inc., an IT human-resources consulting firm based in
Bridgewater, N.J., recently issued a report predicting demand for IT workers
will continue to outpace supply by at least 20% for the next four years. Morgan
Stanley Dean Witter issued a report last month stating that 74% of 150 chief
information officers surveyed from companies in a variety of industries,
including finance, manufacturing, electronics, health care and retail, haven't
reduced their information technology spending plans for 2001, despite fears of
an economic downturn. And according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the
fastest-growing occupations through 2008 include computer engineers, computer
support specialists, systems analysts, and database administrators.
Mr. Landes sees a big opportunity in mainstream, Old Economy companies that
need skilled technologists who can integrate online and offline operations.
"Any company that has a client has got to get on the tech bandwagon,"
he says. "Whether you're going to communicate with that client through a
Web site, fax or telephone, you need people who can integrate those
operations."
For candidates still seeking an Internet-related career, he advises seeking a
mainstream company that has a dedicated, online business, a CEO responsible for
the online initiative, and a commitment to integrating its online and offline
businesses. "Hook up with that and you'd have a lot of job security,"
he says.
He also sees opportunities at outsourcing companies that provide IT services
to mainstream companies seeking to integrate the various technologies into their
overall operations.
But he cautions job seekers to beware of Internet-only companies that aren't
willing to disclose their cash reserves and cash burn rates (how quickly they're
spending their cash reserves). Job seekers need to ask these companies who their
customer is and how they serve that audience. Does the company have an
experienced sales force? Does it have repeat business and long-term contracts
with customers?
Staying on Top
David Rager is proof that the technology field is still vibrant for those
with the right skills. A database administrator for TamTam, a Lakewood, Colo.,
company that provides online services to the import-export industry, Mr. Rager,
33 years old, has been recruited to new jobs three times in a little more
than a year.
A former paralegal, Mr. Rager shifted to technology more than a year ago.
"When I first jumped in, it didn't feel like there was any lack of
openings," Mr. Rager says. One jump was to avoid a relocation; the other
two were for opportunities too good to pass up.
But being in demand can be demanding. "Once you get into the industry,
you realize that in the tech field, you're never going to slow down," he
says. "If you want to stay on top of the field, you have to stay educated
and explore the news on the tech horizon to see what's coming down the
pike."
Mr. Rager constantly is taking night classes (currently: Java), seeking new
certifications and taking on home Internet projects to add depth to his
knowledge. Among them: Streaming music onto the Internet, and hosting an online
directory for local bands. "It gives me a chance to play around with
technologies I'm not so familiar with," he says.
In today's demanding environment, he adds, just getting a simple
Microsoft-software certification "won't sustain you," he says.
"Even that technology is changing yearly."
He says employers have praised the diversity of experience in his resume.
"I'd done network administration, I'd worked with hardware and maintaining
the general software you find on networks." He also had experience in
Internet development, media services, Linux and some Visual Basic and C++
programming. "A lot of that came out of taking evening classes and finding
applications for it in the positions I was in," he says. "I'm always
looking to build up to the senior level in a specific specialty."
He fears, however, that the constant night classes, new books and projects
will lead to burnout. Not to worry; by then, he hopes to have advanced to a
position where he won't need as much depth of knowledge: management.